This is an excellent article, Ashmedai. After reading many books and references concerning drug trials and efficacy and all that, I can only conclude that big pharma does not provide honest data in most cases. Therefore, as with all things related to the covid pandemic and the resulting mRNA gene therapy injections, there is little to chew on that can be termed as accurate data.
In the case of creating assumptions and probabilities, the data must be true, encompassing and virtually sacrosanct. Otherwise, no firm conclusions can be derived. I think most doctors diagnostic judgements are either made from experience or whatever the medical mafia says they should be. They are very seldom independent thinkers, or all that smart beyond holding some degree.
Most doctors are no longer healers or keepers of health. They equate to no more than big pharma controlled thugs and butchers. Tow the line set by the AMA or else you are on the streets and casted as a renegade. In all cases, statistics are no more reliable than the data that supports them. And in many cases, the data are "fudged" to support not a true independent outcome, but an agendized outcome that favors one thing over another.
As an engineer that attended school with several doctors, I realized that they excelled in memorization while I excelled in mathematics, problem-solving, and logic.
"If a treatment requires A & B to both happen, and the probability of A = 80%, and the probability of B is 70%, what is the probability for the treatment to be successful?"
P(A) = 0.8
P(B) = 0.7
P(A & B) = (0.8)(0.7) = 0.56
So the probability that the treatment is successful is 56%.
On Steve Kirch subtack a person asked about heart stents and cancer, seems the two are linked. Like the Hernia mesh is safe, it's not. If I had to evaluate either I'd decline. Heart Stents
I've had to diagnosis my own health issues, as they don't listen very well. And I'm not a doctor. When the symptoms don't match right, you get it wrong.
That's what happens when Doctors are selected by diversity.
This is an excellent article, Ashmedai. After reading many books and references concerning drug trials and efficacy and all that, I can only conclude that big pharma does not provide honest data in most cases. Therefore, as with all things related to the covid pandemic and the resulting mRNA gene therapy injections, there is little to chew on that can be termed as accurate data.
In the case of creating assumptions and probabilities, the data must be true, encompassing and virtually sacrosanct. Otherwise, no firm conclusions can be derived. I think most doctors diagnostic judgements are either made from experience or whatever the medical mafia says they should be. They are very seldom independent thinkers, or all that smart beyond holding some degree.
Most doctors are no longer healers or keepers of health. They equate to no more than big pharma controlled thugs and butchers. Tow the line set by the AMA or else you are on the streets and casted as a renegade. In all cases, statistics are no more reliable than the data that supports them. And in many cases, the data are "fudged" to support not a true independent outcome, but an agendized outcome that favors one thing over another.
As an engineer that attended school with several doctors, I realized that they excelled in memorization while I excelled in mathematics, problem-solving, and logic.
"If a treatment requires A & B to both happen, and the probability of A = 80%, and the probability of B is 70%, what is the probability for the treatment to be successful?"
P(A) = 0.8
P(B) = 0.7
P(A & B) = (0.8)(0.7) = 0.56
So the probability that the treatment is successful is 56%.
If I was a doctor I'd be shutting up and keeping my head down:
https://towardsdatascience.com/ai-diagnoses-disease-better-than-your-doctor-study-finds-a5cc0ffbf32
On Steve Kirch subtack a person asked about heart stents and cancer, seems the two are linked. Like the Hernia mesh is safe, it's not. If I had to evaluate either I'd decline. Heart Stents
https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2017/11/3/16599072/stent-chest-pain-treatment-angina-not-effective
I've had to diagnosis my own health issues, as they don't listen very well. And I'm not a doctor. When the symptoms don't match right, you get it wrong.
Of course we already knew that, or worse.
Nobel Prize winning proof that most doctors lack fundamental medical knowledge and thus sicken us with devastating chronic diseases
https://zenodo.org/record/3475557
Ignaz Semmelweis showed us that a long time ago.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignaz_Semmelweis
Statistics are "racist, sexist and bigoted!"
Perhaps that study could explain "Dr" Tedros's voodoo maths where 9 = 6 = deadlock.